Jay Fenello on 22 Jan 2001 20:01:50 -0000

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[Nettime-bold] Re: <nettime> Global Trends 2015

I'm not sure if nettime has seen this,
but here's another scenario analysis,
this one done by the air force:



At 09:15 AM 1/18/01, Alan Sondheim wrote:
>In the 1970s I taught a course in 'futurology' at the Rhode Island School
>of Design; called The Year 3000, we used everything from extrapolation
>through scenario through delphi methodology. The course was developed
>after Forrester, Club of Rome, RIO, etc. When the Carter report towards
>the year 2000 appeared, that was also incorporated. Remember that Reagan
>threw it out.
>I'm finding too many of the predictions we considered were far too accur-
>ate. Now along comes the following CIA report, which I think should be, at
>least in the US, required reading. Even given the conservative methodology
>and agenda, it's frightening. It's also a good summary of the challenges
>for the next administration, which already appears incompetent, somewhat
>illicit, and frighteningly heading towards missile defense (read offense)
>and the usual bullying militarism.
>It's a long hard ride ahead - Alan
>DCI & CIA Reports
>    Global Trends 2015: A Dialogue About the Future With Nongovernment
>    Experts
>    National Intelligence Council Report.
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Jay Fenello
http://www.fenello.com  678-585-9765
Aligning with Purpose(sm) ... for a Better World
"Like everyone else, you were born into bondage ... born 
into a prison you cannot smell, or taste, or touch ... 
a prison for your mind" -- Morpheous

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