Brett Scott via Nettime-tmp on Mon, 26 Jun 2023 17:57:12 +0200 (CEST)
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<nettime> Zero is the Future of Money
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- Subject: <nettime> Zero is the Future of Money
- From: Brett Scott via Nettime-tmp <nettime-tmp@mail.ljudmila.org>
- Date: Mon, 26 Jun 2023 17:49:35 +0200
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Dear Nettime, I normally write about the dynamics and realpolitik
of mainstream money, but occasionally I try articulate an
idealistic vision of alternatives. I thought I'd share below.
(FYI: If you want the version with links and images, you can find
it here
https://brettscott.substack.com/p/the-crypto-credit-alliance)
Zero is the Future of Money: Beyond crypto and fiat
lies something more exciting than both
If you’ve had your political-economic awakening in the era of
crypto-tokens, there’s a chance you may believe that
faux-commodity tokens like Bitcoin are the first and only
challenge to the monetary system. That, however, is like thinking
Keto is the first and only alternative diet. Bitcoin promoters
have spent years presenting it as being the antithesis to our
normal monetary system, but in this piece I’m going to show you
how to broaden your horizons beyond both of these paradigms. To do
this we must blend thesis (1) and antithesis (-1) into a synthesis
(0). I’ll start with a summary of our standard system and some of
the problems within it, after which I’ll explore its supposed
nemesis, and conclude by zeroing in on a synthesis.
1) THESIS
The dynamic (quasi)centralization of mainstream money
The world’s monetary system is underpinned by nation state
institutions (central banks and treasuries), whose money forms the
substrate upon which commercial banks issue out a second - and much
larger - layer of ‘digital casino chips’ that we also call money,
and that in turn form the substrate upon which various other players
like PayPal issue out a third layer of money (to understand this in
more depth, check out the Casino-Chip Society). There’s actually a
fourth layer, but let’s keep it simple for now.
One way to visualise this is to think of state institutions - and
the money they issue - as forming a centre of gravity for the other
two layers (which you might imagine as being in orbit around this
centre), anchoring them but not controlling them. This means state
institutions only influence, rather than determine, the overall
money supply. There are a large number of players that collectively
preside over the expansion and contraction of the dynamic monetary
web that we’re all enmeshed within.
There are two big features of this system we can focus on. Firstly,
it’s hierarchical, with powerful state institutions anchoring
powerful banking institutions that allow a whole range of third-tier
players to plug into them, some of which are dodgier than others. We
could say that it’s ‘centralized’, in the sense that an oligopoly of
players oversee it and - to some extent - control it.
Secondly, it’s dynamic, rather than static, and its dynamism is also
pretty unpredictable, rather than predictable. It pulsates,
expanding and contracting constantly, and often at the same time,
with expansions in some areas being neutralized by contractions in
others. Every day money is being created and destroyed, and this is
happening in all three layers.
To understand this without freaking out, you have to have a basic
grasp of credit money, and the easiest way to understand credit
money is to first focus on the much simpler example of a promise. We
all have experience giving promises, so you should know that a
promise only becomes a promise when you issue it to someone. This
could be the point that it leaves your lips, or when you write it
down and hand it to the person. In this sense, it’s ‘created from
nothing’ through the act of issuing it. So, imagine I write out “I
promise you a massage” and hand it to someone. If they hand it back
to me the following day, and say “I’m ready for my massage”, they’re
redeeming the promise, after which it’s taken out of circulation. In
other words, if someone hands you back a promise you’ve issued, it
gets retired or destroyed.
Money issuers in Layer 1, 2 and 3 are not handing out massage
vouchers, but they are issuing out different forms of IOUs (legal
promises). I’m not going to focus on the nature of these IOUs in
this piece, but - like any type of promise - they are created when
they are issued, and destroyed when they are handed back. This is
why our money supply is dynamic. The nature of the dynamism at each
layer, however, differs:
Layer 1 money: Central banks and treasuries create new money
when the government is spending, and destroy it when people, for
example, pay taxes
Layer 2 money: Commercial banks issue out new ‘digital casino
chips’ when people deposit cash (Layer 1 money), but also when
they’re giving out loans, and destroy those chips when people ask
for cash back, or when loans get repaid (to learn more, see An
Emotional Guide to ‘Fractional Reserve Banking’)
Layer 3 money: Players like PayPal create new units when someone
transfers Layer 2 money to them, and destroy those units when the
person asks for that back into their bank account
We can also identify three separate styles of action that can happen
in each layer
Issuance: the money issuer issues money (often in exchange for
something)
Transfer: the money users pass the issued money between
themselves (often in exchange for something)
Redemption: a money user passes the money back to the issuer
(often in exchange for something, or to get free of some
obligation), thereby destroying the money
Many of us will have experienced different versions of all of these.
Getting a bank loan is an example of being on the receiving end of
Layer 2 Issuance, while getting a government grant is an example of
being a beneficiary of Layer 1 Issuance. Handing cash to a
shopkeeper is Layer 1 Transfer, while making a contactless payment
for a train ticket is Layer 2 Transfer. Paying taxes is Layer 1
Redemption, while repaying a loan, or getting cash out of the ATM
are examples of Layer 2 Redemption (this isn’t always immediately
apparent, but going to an ATM is the act of redeeming your
bank-issued digital casino chips for cash, and - similarly -
repaying a bank loan is the act of returning chips to the bank).
These different layers of money, and the different styles of actions
within them, are deeply embedded into our everyday lives. In fact,
we might think of ourselves as being Layer 0. We are beings on a
planet surrounded by ecological systems that we use for our
survival, and we’re all interdependent, but we manage our
interdependence through the monetary system, the dynamism of which
has a complex multi-directional relationship to the level of
production and consumption in our Layer 0 existence. Sometimes it’s
easy to find work (production) and to get people to take what you’ve
produced (consumption), and at other times it’s not, and much of
what’s called ‘monetary policy’ is about trying to manipulate all
that via the money system.
It helps to be able to visualise it in 3D, so here’s an imaginative
exercise. Imagine the money system as being a kind of nervous system
embedded in the underlying economy, and then imagine grabbing it and
pulling it upwards to reveal the hierarchy of players: at the apex
are state central banks, with commercial banks below that, and
third-tier players plugged into them, and all of them locked into
the broader financial sector, which is locked into the corporate
sector, and then all of us below. Here’s a very rough stylised
sketch I did to convey the basic idea…
From here we can point to four conceptually separate, but related,
forms of dynamism in the system:
The increases (issuance) and decreases (redemption) in the
(3-layered) money supply
The increases or decreases in the velocity with which transfers
between money users take place
The surges (booms) or contractions (busts) in the underlying
production in the economy
The increases and decreases in the power of the monetary units
to command people to produce things or give you stuff (commonly
called ‘deflation’ and ‘inflation’)
Trying to predict the behaviour of this collective entity, and the
interrelated forms of dynamism that accompany it, is a dark (pseudo)
science, but we’re all part of it, and we feel it even if we
struggle to see the whole structure and its processes. There are
many problems with the money system, but here are a few basic things
we can say about it:
There are better and worse versions of it: people often
generically talk about ‘fiat money’, but our monetary system is
actually a hybrid hydra and there are better and worse versions of
it. For example, the version without physical cash (‘cashless
society’) is definitely worse than the version of it with cash. I
spend a lot of my time defending cash, because it’s crucial for
maintaining a balance of power between Layer 1 and 2 money, and for
preventing a more dystopian version of the system from emerging
Bank power is as important as state power: banks can issue out
huge numbers of digital casino chips to parts of the economy they
wish to mobilise, and to pull those away from parts of the economy
they want to shut down. This means they have a lot of power to
decide what (and who) lives and dies in the economy, and they’re far
more likely to choose wealthy property developers than a poor
project in a poor neighbourhood. The banking sector (and the mega
institutional investment industry that owns their shares) is often
in complex alliances with states and the broader financial and
corporate sector, and also presides (alongside lawyers and
accounting firms) over a massive system of offshore finance
obfuscation used by corporations, mafia and oligarchs
Inflation politics: Looking at all the layers at once, we see
there’s an ongoing dance with inflation, by which we mean the power
of the monetary units to command real things from real people in the
underlying economy, and that’s always in a dance with employment
(the people in Layer 0 trying to find a way to survive by slotting
themselves into a niche within the interdependent structure). In
very crude terms, conservative monetary policy ‘hawks’ generally
like to keep a bunch of people unemployed to try keep inflation low,
whereas others often want to counter that
Geopolitics: We live in a transnational economy, but the
transnational money system is a patchwork of national sub-systems
stitched together, and often that stitching takes place via the US
dollar system, which gets a lot of power from this ‘reserve
currency’ status (and a meta battle with China is emerging in this
regard). The geopolitics increasingly also involves digital payments
data: as former Ecuadorian central banker Andrés Arauz points out,
giants like Visa and MasterCard are based in the Global North, and
their increasing control of the payments systems of people in the
Global South gives US agencies a whole lot of power to pry into
their lives
I could go on listing more problems (such as the fact that the
money system is largely built to interface with and accelerate the
soul-eating expansion of financialised corporate capitalism), but
needless to say there are a whole lot of different people who have
different gripes about the system and the power held by the
oligopoly of players within it. But what kind of alternative do
you propose when faced with this amorphous beast?
-1) ANTITHESIS
The rigid decentralization of crypto-commodity fetishists
Let’s talk about Bitcoin.
Hmm… actually, no. Let’s not rush into it. Before I start talking
about crypto-tokens, I want to take a step back, and to talk about a
mindset that precedes them, which is useful to understand.
If I was to issue you with a written promise for a massage, you’d
have a strong understanding of its double-sided nature. It might be
a single object, but it references two sides: Side 1 is me and Side
2 is you. I issued the promise to you. If any one of those sides is
removed, it ceases to exist as a promise.
To put it in more technical language, a promise has both an asset
and a liability side. The asset you hold - the promise - is from my
perspective a liability: it’s something I owe you (if you turn that
phrase into an acronym, you get IOU). If you were able to transfer
this promise to someone else - for example, your brother - they’d
take ownership of that asset, while my liability remains constant. I
now owe your brother a massage.
Imagine a far-out scenario in which this promise gets passed around
so much that the holders forget who issued it, and - moreover - come
to see it not as a promise for a thing, but as the very thing that
it promises. So, rather than seeing it as a massage voucher, they
begin to see it as a kind of congealed abstract embodiment of a
massage.
Something like this often happens in large-scale credit money
systems. All the money units we pass between ourselves are
liabilities issued out by states and banks (and various other
third-tier players), but we often fixate on the asset side, and are
very prone to generating crude mythologies of money as an object
disassociated from an issuer. In this ‘asset only’ imagination of
money, we picture it as a kind of abstract congealed incarnation of
generic ‘value’, viewing it metaphorically like a commodity or a
substance. This is the commodity orientation to money: it’s a way of
thinking about money as if it were a commodity with use in itself.
There are various reasons for why this happens. One is that our
money system is so huge and immersive that it’s very easy to go
through life without seeing what’s happening in the background and
to have no knowledge of the issuers. You simply learn as a child
that the units have a mysterious power to command people. Another
reason is that, unlike a massage voucher, the nature of the
different promises in the different layers of our monetary system
are obscure and hard to understand (and, moreover, are often framed
in confusing circular terms). To go deeper into some of this
mindset, check out my piece Money through the Eyes of Mowgli, where
I argue that the existential experience of being in a large-scale
capitalist system naturally leads your mind to generate crude
commodity mythology around money by default, providing a folkloric
way to describe its power over random strangers on the street. This
is also hard-baked into the mainstream Economics discipline, which
is built upon a commodity mythology of money (the core of which is
the myth of barter: see How to Write a Flintstones History of
Money).
Needless to say, many people end up with a commodity orientation to
money, which, as mentioned, is actually a metaphorical way of
thinking about money as if it were - or should be - a commodity.
This, however, leads to a new problem: if you have that subconscious
baseline viewpoint, but nevertheless come to have an awareness that
modern money isn’t actually a commodity, it creates a cognitive
dissonance that must force you down one of two paths:
Path 1: Modify your concept of what a commodity is to calm the
cognitive dissonance: Many people are aware that money isn’t
literally a commodity, but nevertheless must find ways to describe
it as if it were, and so default to thinking about it as a kind of
mysterious ‘fictitious commodity’. The most common way to do this is
to claim that we all just collectively decided - through an act of
imagination or belief - to imbue it with value. It’s a bit like
Peter Pan’s view of flying: money will fly as long as we all keep
believing
Path 2: See it as an imposter or fake commodity: I’ve given
talks on global finance for over a decade, and I’ve lost count of
the times when someone in the audience rants about how the real
problem with finance is that money is ‘backed by nothing’, and that
there’s no gold in the central bank’s vault, and that the system is
therefore a giant Ponzi scheme made up of farcical units that are
pretending to be a commodity, with some deceitful power that tries
to force you to use them, or to deceive you into believing they are
valuable
The latter position is a more angst-ridden response to the cognitive
dissonance, with the person going around trying to sow moral panic
about money somehow being ‘not real’. This position also tends to
come along with (or perhaps generates) a reactionary idea of what
money should be. For the universe to not be a topsy-turvy deceitful
place, the fake money must be replaced by a money that is ‘created
from something’ so that it has ‘real value’, and must not controlled
by a corrupt authority.
Normally, this generates in the modern mind an imagination of gold.
Most people have little understanding of how gold actually operated
in the past, but simply assume that it somehow was a natural money
system, perhaps imagining medieval fairs with people plonking little
gold coins in exchange for chickens. I mean, pretty much all
medieval-themed video games and modern fantasy shows like The
Witcher have people searching for gold ‘coin’.
‘Goldbugs’ are people that channel the most politicised version of
this belief, casting gold as the perfect ‘natural’ money, and
contrasting it to the unnatural abomination of fiat money ‘created
from nothing’. Gold certainly is created from something. Well, it
was created by star explosions, and distributed in rock strata, and
gold fetishists believe that uncovering this geology offers a better
monetary policy than humans institutions do (provided we ignore the
centuries of imperial slavery to obtain it, the 16th century
conquistadores sent off to massacre indigenous South Americans to
get it, and my home country of South Africa, where a fascist police
state coerced poor workers to mine it well into the 1980s, so that
goldbugs across the world could obtain the famed Krugerrand).
Despite its bloody history, gold is rigged up in the conservative
imagination like a disapproving puritanical god that you can invoke
as a protection against the depraved fiat system. Most interesting,
however, is that its most important modern function is symbolic
rather than practical. Very few people - including monetary
conservatives - actually want gold to be money, but it serves an
important function as an abstract Platonic Ideal to be emulated
rather than used. The idea is to keep using the normal fiat system,
but to constrain the minds of those who use it, such that they
imagine it to be like a commodity with hard limits. Monetary
conservatives have fought long and hard on numerous fronts to tie
the fiat system up in commodity-centric mythology, law and language,
and have succeeded, because many people do use commodity metaphors
for money and often do believe that it’s inherently constrained
(incidentally, this is something the MMT movement has slowly tried
to deprogram, causing consternation among people on both the
political right and left, who’ve got used to fighting each other
within the bounds of the commodity framing).
So, with this background context in mind, let’s now move on to
Bitcoin.
I’m going to assume you have a basic knowledge of what Bitcoin is
(or at least, what it claims to be), and to focus in on its
political message. Bitcoin gave new energy and direction to people
who previously could only hark back to an imagined golden era of
‘real’ commodity money. Rather than bleating on about medieval
Witcher fairs, it allowed the vision to be repackaged in a modern
digital form, and also added some more radical elements that could
disorientate and excite a lot of people across the political
spectrum. Given that most people are unschooled in the political
dynamics of money, and given that most have a commodity orientation
pre-programmed into them, Bitcoin was well-positioned to seem like a
miraculous, cutting-edge and practical cure to the evils of our
current system.
To promote it, Bitcoin evangelists reduce the multi-layered and
multi-playered modern monetary system into the single term ‘fiat’,
and set it in binary opposition to Bitcoin, which is presented as
the antithesis to its two key features: remember that the fiat
system is, firstly, underpinned by a (quasi) centralized oligopoly,
which, secondly, presides over an unpredictable money supply that’s
‘created from nothing’ and which expands and contracts. To be the
binary opposite, you must have a system that’s not controlled by a
centralized oligopoly, with units that are ‘created from something’,
and which has a predictable supply that lasts forever, rather than
expanding and contracting.
The most radical part of the Bitcoin equation is the attack on
centralization, but ‘decentralization’ in crypto-speak has a very
particular meaning. In the pre-crypto era, ‘decentralization’ used
to mean breaking up a large centrally-controlled system into many
smaller locally-controlled systems (like a bunch of city states
declaring independence from a nation state, or a small town trying
to partially detach itself from the national economy by encouraging
localist economic projects). In the Bitcoin world, by contrast,
‘decentralization’ basically means replacing one large system
governed by people with another large system not governed by people.
‘Decentralized’ means ‘a large automated infrastructure controlled
by nobody’, although if you want to put a more romantic human spin
on it you can say its ‘run by everyone, but controlled by no-one’.
The second part of the Bitcoin equation is a lot more overtly
conservative. It’s an attack on the entire concept of an
expandable-contractable supply of units. The system has a fixed
supply of tokens that must (sort-of) be ‘produced’. I say ‘sort of’,
because really they are written-into-existence, but the person - or,
rather, computer rig - doing that must first exert a very large
amount of energy. It’s a bit like having to pierce through a
forcefield around a database before you can write something onto it,
or having to climb Mount Everest before you can write out the number
‘50’ on its summit. This energy expenditure creates the illusion of
‘extracting’ Bitcoin tokens out of some kind of cyber-ore with a
pre-programmed hard limit of how much ‘coin’ can be mined (the
initial design is somewhat like the digital equivalent of the star
explosions that arbitrarily decided how much gold crashed into the
earth). In less metaphorical terms, the shared protocol that brings
Bitcoin to life simply won’t allow participants in the system to
write new units into existence after the arbitrary number of 21
million units is hit.
While credit money systems have that inherent dynamism that comes
from the constant fluctuations of Issuance, Transfer, and
Redemption, the Bitcoin system isn’t very dynamic at all. There
really isn’t a true Issuance process: rather, the system has a
machinic formula for spitting out ‘asset only’ tokens that have no
liability side, which means there’s also no Redemption process. The
most dynamic part of the system lies in Transfer: the units can be
transferred around, but there’s no leeway to push more out or pull
more in if there are changes in the level of ‘Layer 0’ production
going on in the economy. In other words, there’s no such thing as
discretionary Bitcoin ‘monetary policy’. That, of course, is part of
the whole point, but it means the system is incredibly rigid, and -
despite the rhetoric of fairness - also has some pretty horrendous
problems with inequality. There’s a lot of dark fuckery that goes on
in the fiat system, but it certainly expands with our population,
whereas a disproportionate amount of the Bitcoin supply arbitrarily
lies in the hands of a few thousand random early adopters. Consider
the fact that there are almost 8 billion people on the earth right
now - not including future generations - and yet the 21 million
possible Bitcoin units were being given out in 50 token chunks to
people who happened to be around in 2009 with the expertise,
capital, equipment and peer groups to exploit it.
To justify the massively unequal initial distribution, many Bitcoin
proponents rely upon dubious ideological positions (like claiming
that the early users are being rewarded for being bold risk-takers)
and semantic trickery, noting that there’s no problem in running
short on units because a bitcoin can be split into smaller
increments like Satoshis. It’s somewhat like noting that a tonne of
gold can be split into 1,000,000 grams, without asking who owns the
tonne of gold. So, one day the big holders of Bitcoin (people like
Michael Saylor and Elon Musk) will be old, and future generations
will have to wrest small fragments of Satoshis out of their wrinkled
hands, a process that would presumably give those ‘whales’ an
ability to extract huge amounts of labour from them in return. Given
that most of these big holders basically did very little labour to
get the original distribution, this is extremely problematic.
Even the decentralization claim starts to look a lot more dodgy when
you notice that the style of decentralization promoted in
traditional crypto-token systems is also designed to make the
systems (theoretically) unchangeable. There was - at least initially
- a rejection of human governance processes, which were seen as
being corrupt, but that required the crypto-token movement to have
an alternative account of how change could ever take place. This in
turn was supplied by a libertarian concept of a market in
pre-programmed systems (if I was being tongue-in-cheek, I might call
it a ‘market in pre-programmed star explosions’). In much
free-market ideology, the political act of voicing your concerns
(‘voice’) is held in lower esteem that simply exiting a system you
don’t like (‘exit’) and buying into another system, or starting your
own system (this latter viewpoint is especially strong among people
immersed in startup culture). For example, if you complain about
Google screwing the world, some will tell you to stop whining and
just go start your own search engine, as if each person had ten
years, billions in capital, cutting-edge expertise, and massive
market power to dislodge something that’s become unavoidable
entrenched infrastructure in our society. This mindset was
transferred to Bitcoin: rather than offering a governance process
for changing it, you were told that if you don’t like it you could
just fork off and start a different one. It superficially sounds
appealing - and certainly lots of people made windfall profits by
cloning the system and pushing out new tokens to be sold - but it’s
politically vacuous, ineffective and unsatisfactory.
I could go into all the other problems of the Bitcoin system, like
the incredibly energy-inefficient mode by which it’s produced, but
by far the biggest issue is that it simply fails as money. Fiat
money can run circles around Bitcoin because of its flexibility and
dynamism, which means - like gold - Bitcoin tokens have simply
become another commodity priced in fiat money on a fiat money
market. This is why many people have become rich in dollars by
speculating on crypto-tokens.
Furthermore, all the supposedly money-like elements of Bitcoin (for
example, the fact that it can be exchanged for goods) can be easily
explained with the concept of countertrade, which is something I
bang on a lot about. Basically, the tokens have a primary and a
secondary life. In their primary life, they are collectible objects
that get a monetary price on the dollar market through speculation.
That monetary price in turn gives them a secondary life as a
countertrade object. Countertrade is the act of using something’s
monetary price as a guide to deciding how much of it to exchange for
something else that has a monetary price. You can in fact do
countertrade with any object in a monetary market - including bread
loaves, headphones, and sheets of plastic wrap - but normally it’s a
clunky process. What’s unique about limited edition crypto-tokens
like Bitcoin is that they are highly countertradeable because they
are digital and easily transferable. Sending bitcoins to someone
superficially feels like a ‘payment’, especially because the tokens
have monetary imagery pasted all over them, but when you hand
bitcoin over for a surf lesson at Bitcoin Beach in El Salvador,
you’re actually paying with the token’s US dollar resale price.
This is a horrifying thought to many Bitcoiners, who prefer to
remain in a state of denial about that, but - once you get Zen about
it - it becomes obvious that Bitcoin doesn’t compete with the
mainstream system, but rather rides on top of it. Unfortunately, in
order to market this countertradeable collectible, all the promoters
have to big it up as a kind of US dollar competitor, and in the
process trojan horse a lot of conservative monetary ideology into
the minds of idealistic teenagers (which I view as a pretty bad case
of collateral damage).
I don’t critique Bitcoin with malice. In fact, there’s an innocence
in many parts of the crypto scene, with a longing for predictability
in an unpredictable world. But it’s this very dogmatic insistence on
a rigid system in a dynamic world that’s the problem. The standard
monetary system doesn’t run away from Bitcoin. Rather it rushes
towards it to engulf it, seeing it as just another thing to be
traded. Bitcoin’s attempt to emulate a commodity is precisely why
it’s so easy to co-opt. You don’t fight a giant saltwater shark by
sending a small freshwater crocodile into the ocean after it.
Perhaps that’s an unfair metaphor. From one angle, Bitcoin’s
co-optability is part of its strength. In getting swallowed by
standard capitalism, Bitcoin has managed to fuse itself into the
system, and as it gets metabolised it comes to offer some
interesting new routes to exchange via digital countertrade. That’s
a type of success, but it’s far from the vision of replacing the
monetary system.
Because the general public defaults towards having a commodity
orientation to money, they are susceptible to believing straw man
accounts of the actual monetary system, and this gives space to
opportunists to offer straw man alternatives. Many big influencers
in the Bitcoin - and broader crypto - scene have taken on this role,
and have (arguably) channeled talent and public attention away from
truly positive currency innovation, and into a largely
counterproductive mosh-pit of speculation. These influencers now
have large amounts of money and reputation that depend on them
perpetuating the various forms of contradictory double-think that
plague their systems, and a priesthood of crypto intellectuals have
been enrolled to patch up the dissonance. They make almost
theological arguments to try show why dollar-priced tokens are a
competitor to the dollar, or why once it reaches a certain monetary
price Bitcoin will somehow transform into being the monetary system,
or why really it’s the dollar that’s priced in Bitcoin, not vice
versa (the monetary equivalent of arguing that it’s actually the
tornado that flies around the kite).
Many of these issues are also not unique to Bitcoin. They plague
the crypto-token sector more generally, so let’s get real: there’s
a lot of lovely and bright people here wasting energy and time
following dead-end visions of money. This is why it’s imperative
to find positive new ways to channel it.
0) SYNTHESIS
The dynamic decentralization of the credit commons
If the original crypto-token culture sought to attack two components
of mainstream fiat, a synthesis might be achieved by attacking only
one. What if we kept the dynamism of credit money, but combined it
with a (modified) version of crypto decentralization? The mainstream
system pulsates, expanding and contracting, but has a stacked
hierarchy of players. You can imagine them on a vertical plane
rising above us, but what if we were to pull that down to earth,
flatten it, and aim for a pulsating system without the hierarchy?
To do this requires a new imaginative leap. One of the hardest
things for most people to grasp is that we only experience the Asset
Side of Money, and really only think of that side in terms of
Transfer. We’re money users, rather than money issuers, and we
mostly just transfer money units that were created by big
institutions somewhere far away. We never experience ourselves
creating money by pushing it out through Issuance, or destroying it
by pulling it back in through Redemption. Most of us have never
taken a peek behind the curtain to see the Liability Side of Money,
and even fewer have experienced what’s it’s like to be active on
that side.
In fact, some of the only people that have direct experience of that
come from a small yet ancient tradition of alternative currency that
pre-dates crypto by a very long time, and which also comes from a
much older tradition of decentralization. Remember that
‘decentralization’ originally meant breaking a large
distantly-controlled system into many smaller locally-controlled
systems. This ethos is core to many anarchist, localist, and
mutualist groups that have historically believed in peoples’ ability
to locally self-organise in the peripheries, in the shadows of the
towering central institutions of mainstream capitalism. It’s from
this tradition that mutual credit systems, and their cousins -
timebanks and LETS (local exchange trading schemes) - emerge.
Mutual credit is a simple, yet profound, alternative money system.
Here’s how it works. You get a group of people together, set up a
database between them, and allow them (or empower them) to pay each
other by promise. ‘Paying by promise’ means one person can get
something real from another person by promising to give them
something real later. Essentially, they issue an IOU. When they do
this, it’s recorded on the database, which keeps track of who has
issued promises, and who has accumulated them. Everyone starts on
zero, and if you issue a promise to someone to get something real,
you go below zero, while the other goes above zero, their positive
credits mirroring your negative credits. That’s an Issuance process,
but the person with the positive credits can come back to claim
stuff from you, which is a Redemption process that can take you both
back to zero. To make it more sophisticated, you can allow Transfer,
so that the IOUs can be moved around between the members, allowing
people to accumulate IOUs that weren’t originally issued to them.
Finally, you can set limits on how many promises people can issue,
to prevent, for example, a person issuing a tonne of IOUs to get a
tonne of stuff before running away.
If you’ve ever gone below zero on one of these systems, you’re one
of the few people in this world to have experienced the process of
being a money issuer. In a mutual credit system, money isn’t
something that comes from a mysterious source far away, and it’s not
something you must try grab and hoard like a squirrel grabbing an
acorn. No, money emanates from you at the point at which you dare to
issue a promise that will push you onto its liability side. You’ll
also experience the process of destroying it, as someone with a
positive balance comes back to demand something from you. Both sides
are always in a dance with the zero line, fluctuating from the
positive to the negative as they move in and out of obligation to
each other by getting real things from each other.
There are two big things we can say about traditional mutual credit
systems (and their relatives). Firstly, they tend to remain small.
They are set up against the backdrop of the much more powerful fiat
system, and they tend to only succeed when they find ways to
interface with that system, or to not directly compete with it. This
is why people often refer to these as ‘complementary currency’
systems. Many are run by volunteer groups who easily become burned
out, or who see their work as a part-time community project rather
than a full-time political mission. Some, like Sardex in Sardinia,
have at times reached impressive scale, but many systems of
self-issued and locally circulating credits (often denominated in
all manner of idiosyncratic units) have stagnated or faded away.
Some, like Eli Gothill’s Punkmoney system for issuing IOUs on
Twitter, were designed to be short-term experiments. Needless to
say, there’s been perennial attempts to link these systems into
federations where they can get strength in numbers: see, for
example, the Community Exchange System of former South African
political prisoner and escapee Tim Jenkin (played by Daniel
Radcliffe in the film Escape from Pretoria).
Secondly, from an intellectual perspective, the people who get
involved in these systems tend to build a much stronger
understanding of how the actual monetary system works. This is
because small-scale mutual credit systems are built from similar
principles - or primitives - to large-scale credit money systems.
They also tend to imprint the highly unorthodox, yet incredibly
useful, credit orientation to money into the minds of their users. A
credit orientation to money is a mental model that sees money not as
a commodity (either real or fictitious), but rather as an active
accounting system powered by IOUs that bind people together into
inescapable interdependent meshes.
As I discussed in Money Through the Eyes of Mowgli, the commodity
orientation to money requires you to believe that people need to be
induced into trade by dangling something of value in front of them.
Credit thinking, by contrast, recognises that people are tied into
non-optional interdependent networks, within which they’ll often
have to ‘go negative’ to get access to the goods they need to
survive before they can produce anything. Picture your lungs telling
your heart that before it can oxygenate the blood required by the
heart’s tissues, it needs energy delivered to its tissues via a pump
of the heart. At a systemic level, there’s no fundamental separation
between these interdependent parts in your body, and there’s no need
for one part to ‘convince’ the other to help through some kind of
incentive system. You can choose to imagine that your lungs and
heart are ‘trading’ with each other, but it’s actually an
inescapable form of cooperation. Once you start to see whole
economies like this, it lowers the need to generate commodity
mythologies about money.
Crucially, credit thinking leads to a vision of money as being a
kind of nervous system, rather than a circulatory system, and the
key primordial nervous impulse being sent along that system - to
create its grooves - is the act of ‘paying by promise’. In our
modern system, the issuance of these impulses is completely
dominated by mega institutions, but there’s nothing to say that
alternative versions of the same principle can’t be achieved,
especially with the advent of new distributed technology
architectures.
One subtle yet crucial nuance to internalise is that a credit
orientation to money is a way of thinking about money, rather than a
specific prescription or specification for its exact form. In
general, what we call ‘credit money’ is an IOU that’s either printed
onto physical objects or written down in ledgers, but credit money
principles can actually be hidden in the background of many supposed
cases of ‘commodity money’.
Indeed, while most people use a commodity orientation to think about
credit money systems like fiat, you can also do the opposite and
apply a credit orientation to think about a commodity system like
gold. Once you do that, the history of money comes alive. This is
because commodity thinking leads you to imagine a world of inert
objects moved by independent people, whereas credit thinking
requires you to imagine the world as an elaborate mesh of people
keeping accounts of webs of promises, relations and obligations,
sometimes using fetishised commodity forms like the Rai stones on
the island of Yap.
This is where our synthesis really starts to take off. Older
pre-crypto alternative currency movements carry with them a much
deeper understanding of money, and also carry the seeds of powerful
new currency designs, but they’re often too polite. They don’t
design systems that encourage speculation, and as a result have had
their voices drowned out by the noise of crypto maximalists who pump
out pseudo-commodity tokens like machine gun bullets. The crypto
clamour, though, has drawn in many very talented and idealistic
people, and there’s a big opportunity to redirect their latent
creative energy and technical prowess towards new hybrids. What if
the best of crypto could be fused with the best of credit thinking?
What if crypto could shed its rigid monetary theory, and what if
mutual credit systems could shed their small-scale backwater
feeling?
At the intersection of thesis and antithesis lies something very
important, but by default this synthesis remains fuzzy because it
needs to be worked out. Here’s a general direction of travel though.
Imagine a ‘credit commons’ (a term coined by mutual credit pioneer
Thomas Greco, and developed further by protocol designer Matthew
Slater), a world in which horizontal networks of people-powered
credit money link together to present a dynamic counterbalance to
hierarchical credit money. In contrast to standard crypto, which is
historically restricted to rigid transfers of rigid tokens with
metallic imagery, these ‘paying by promise’ systems require us to
move seamlessly between the positions of money issuer, money
redeemer and money transferrer. They strive to be far more organic
and embedded in actual communities, morphing in resonance with the
underlying people who use them. New forms like rippling credit (or
mesh credit) allow IOUs to ripple like dominoes through networks of
people, perhaps even hopping great distances through six degrees of
separation.
A growing community of innovators is starting to gather together
under a vision of forming not only a credit commons, but to build
what Informal Systems CEO Ethan Buchman likes to call ‘CoFi’ -
collaborative finance. If you’d like a peek into some examples of
the new groups that embody this ethos, check out Resource Network,
Trustlines, Sikoba, Circles, Mutual Credit Services and Grassroots
Economics. I plan to go into depth on these and other projects in
future episodes of my Unboxing Alternative Currency series for paid
subscribers, but if you want to meet people working on this stuff, I
also recommend a visit to the Crypto Commons Hub. Their events are a
lot of fun.
Let’s close with two final considerations.
Unfreezing Decentralization
The original style of decentralization in crypto is purposefully
designed to ‘freeze’ the systems in place. Rather than having human
governance processes, they rely upon various technologies and
methodologies (like game theory and crypto-economics) to
dis-incentivise bad actors from coordinating. They aim for
large-scale digital systems that default to a pre-programmed set of
rules that theoretically protect the average user, but often do so
at the expense of any kind of dynamism or political voice for that
user. Sometimes they try freeze into place elaborate automated
methods to artificially replicate dynamism and voice, and that’s an
authentically interesting technical challenge for engineers, but it
gets a whole lot more interesting when that mentality gets combined
with - or offset by - an in-depth appreciation and focus on real
human communities at a local scale (who really don’t operate like
algorithms). One of the biggest cultural tasks is to bring the
wealth of community-focused knowledge possessed by mutual credit
practitioners into the crypto sector, whilst finding a positive
outlet for the technical prowess of the techies: if done right, we
might end up with more dynamic forms of liquid decentralization,
with local systems riding on global architectures, using
combinations of different governance systems for different scales of
decisions.
Learning to love zero, and below
Commodity thinking imagines money as positive units of some
‘substance of value’, but credit thinking recognises that the
substance of value in an economy is other people, and that holding a
claim on those people is only a reality if they have something to
give. Your positive unit is an asset to you, but to other people it
represents a claim upon them. Your 1 is their -1, and, on average, a
healthy state of interdependence seeks to always fluctuate around 0.
This is a highly stylised account, but one of the most profound
things that emerges from this is the realisation that if your system
only consists of a bunch of ‘asset only’ tokens with positive
numbers - e.g. 21 million units of Bitcoin - there isn’t actually 21
million units of money in the system. Rather, what you’ve attempted
to do is to rename 0 - the state of interdependent equilibrium -
with a positive number.
Here’s a simpler example: If you have a 1000 interdependent people
and you give them all 1000 units to start with, it’s pretty much the
same as giving them nothing. Money is only created when one of them
enters into a state of obligation to another: when 0 is transformed
into -1 and 1. If you’ve simply renamed the starting point as
‘1000’, then it’s only when one person goes to 999 and another goes
to 1001 that 1 unit of money has been created.
That takes a while for most people to get their heads around, but
the point is this: the original crypto systems suffer from the fact
that they were built to push out tokens with positive numbers,
without any liability side. That may superficially make them look
like money (after all, most of us normally only see the positive
number side of money), but if you take a systemic viewpoint and
imagine a scenario where traditional crypto-tokens actually became a
money system (rather than countertradable collectibles), our economy
would have to organically rebase the asset-only tokens to give them
a liability side. This is an example of using a credit orientation
to think about a supposed commodity money.
The big challenge for building authentically interesting alternative
money is this. Because most of us are so used to associating money
with positive numbers, we remain on the ‘receiving end’ of money.
It’s only when we learn to love zero, and below, that we take that
step towards claiming the issuing end.
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